摘 要
工程索赔管理作为工程项目管理中的重要组成部分，对控制项目成本、保障各方权益具有关键作用。然而，由于工程环境复杂多变，造价风险在索赔过程中日益凸显，成为影响项目经济效益的重要因素。本研究以工程索赔管理中的造价风险防范为切入点，旨在探索系统化的风险识别与防控策略，从而降低因索赔争议引发的经济损失。研究基于国内外相关理论与实践案例，采用文献分析法、案例研究法及定量分析方法，深入剖析了工程索赔中常见的造价风险类型及其成因，并构建了一套适用于实际操作的风险评估模型。通过对比分析多个典型工程案例，验证了该模型在风险预警和决策支持方面的有效性。研究表明，通过强化合同条款设计、优化索赔流程管理以及引入信息化工具，能够显著提升造价风险的防控能力。本研究的主要创新点在于将定性分析与定量评估相结合，提出了动态化、精细化的风险管理框架，为工程造价领域的实践提供了科学依据。研究成果不仅有助于完善工程索赔管理体系，还为相关方在项目全生命周期内的风险管理提供了重要参考，具有较强的理论价值和实践指导意义。
关键词：工程索赔管理；造价风险防范；风险评估模型；合同条款设计；信息化工具
ABSTRACT
Engineering claim management, as a critical component of engineering project management, plays a key role in controlling project costs and safeguarding the rights and interests of all parties involved. However, due to the complex and ever-changing nature of engineering environments, cost-related risks in the claims process have become increasingly prominent, significantly impacting the economic benefits of projects. This study focuses on the prevention of cost risks in engineering claim management, aiming to explore systematic strategies for risk identification and mitigation, thereby reducing economic losses caused by claim disputes. Based on relevant theories and practical cases both domestically and internationally, this research employs literature analysis, case study methods, and quantitative analysis approaches to thoroughly examine common types of cost risks in engineering claims and their underlying causes. A risk assessment model applicable to practical operations is developed. Through comparative analysis of multiple typical engineering cases, the effectiveness of this model in risk warning and decision support is validated. The study reveals that enhancing contract clause design, optimizing claim process management, and incorporating information technology tools can substantially improve the ability to manage cost risks. A major innovation of this research lies in its integration of qualitative analysis with quantitative evaluation, proposing a dynamic and refined risk management fr amework that provides a scientific basis for practices in the field of engineering cost management. The findings not only contribute to the improvement of the engineering claim management system but also offer significant references for risk management throughout the entire lifecycle of projects, demonstrating strong theoretical value and practical guidance.
Keywords: Engineering Claim Management; Cost Risk Prevention; Risk Assessment Model; Contract Clause Design; Information Technology Tools
目 录
摘 要 I
ABSTRACT II
第1章 绪论 2
1.1 工程索赔管理的研究背景与意义 2
1.2 造价风险防范的国内外研究现状 2
1.3 本文研究方法与技术路线 3
第2章 工程索赔管理中的造价风险识别 4
2.1 造价风险的基本概念与特征 4
2.2 工程索赔中常见的造价风险类型 4
2.3 造价风险识别的关键影响因素分析 5
2.4 数据驱动的造价风险识别方法研究 5
2.5 案例分析：典型工程中的造价风险识别 6
第3章 工程索赔管理中的造价风险评估 7
3.1 造价风险评估的理论基础 7
3.2 定量与定性评估方法的比较研究 7
3.3 基于多指标体系的造价风险评估模型构建 8
3.4 评估结果对索赔管理的指导作用 8
3.5 实践应用：某大型项目的风险评估案例 9
第4章 工程索赔管理中的造价风险防范策略 10
4.1 防范策略的总体框架设计 10
4.2 合同条款优化与风险分配机制研究 10
4.3 施工过程中的动态风险管理方法 11
4.4 技术创新在造价风险防范中的应用 11
4.5 策略实施效果评价与改进建议 12
结论 13
参考文献 14
致 谢 15
